Healthy Influence – Persuasion Blog

communication for a change

Archive for August, 2009

It’s a Kind Word and a Gun, not an Argument and a Gun

24th August 2009

Some people misunderstand the Rules.  Consider this news story.

ELKINS — Elkins Police have arrested a woman for firing a weapon inside her home.

Officers charged Elaine Ruth Fisher, 44, with wanton endangerment, for firing a Colt Trooper handgun inside her Boundary Avenue home.

The domestic violence with shots fire call went out just before 11:00 Sunday night.

Three officers responded to the house, and talked to Fisher who said she’d been arguing with her husband and fired the gun to scare him, according to the criminal complaint.

Fisher is in the Tygart Valley Regional Jail.

The Rule is,

You can get farther with a kind word and a gun than with either alone.

Not,

You can get farther with a domestic dispute and a gun than with either alone.

Unless, of course, your persuasion goal is going to jail.

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Social Media – Do Unto Others

24th August 2009

Right now the Pentagon is all atwitter over social media that connects people in an interesting mix of mediated and interpersonal relationships. Secretary Gates worries about falling behind the power curve and how to communicate with the young people.

Now, much more seriously . . . thinking as a persuasion guy, social media is both a threat and an opportunity. Let’s talk threat.

The thing you need to see with social media is this: It’s not about the advertising; it is about the marketing. Social media sites collect a huge, dynamic database of people, their bonds, and the details of their lives. Even if you strip away all personally identifying information like names, addresses, accounts, etc. and just create aggregates (all males between 18-25 with college backgrounds who belong to the NRA), the amount of marketing information is staggering. Large, successful marketing corporations have spent billions of dollars trying to characterize groups of people and have not achieved the level of detail and organization a site like Facebook possesses.

Folks, Big Brother is much more likely to emerge from Mark Zuckerberg and his crew at Facebook than some secret NSA operation Evil Cheney implemented. Just think about it. The government has a lot of information on you, but they don’t really know you like Facebook does. Facebook knows the clothes you wear, what you like to eat, who you have sex with, your political opinions, your favorite books and movies, where you are, where you’ve been, and where you are going, and most importantly, Facebook can connect you in networks with others in a way the Fed can only dream about.

That network part is the most interesting and threatening part of social media. A key element for any persuasion play is, “Who’s the target?” Anyone who’s just scanned Facebook, for example, should immediately grasp the “Who?” element built into the application. And, gee whiz, folks have nicely segmented themselves into groups and you can start tracking how groups overlap and then you’re well into social network analysis. The possibilities are endless, but dangerous.

If I’m running the Pentagon, there is no way any personnel are using any social media apps that anyone else can see. It is too hard to control the content and the risks are large. Bad Guys who penetrate the network can discover with a high degree of detail who knows who, where they are, and where they’ve been and where they’re going. Just think of the photos and all the potential information that the photo taker never realizes.

Now, the opportunities.

The Pentagon does need to become more hip through social media and it will as it has with all new media. Some people do get atwitter with each new media technology thinking that THIS ONE is different, when it is always the same as before and with good reason. All new technologies like this share one dominating quality: They are still channels of communication. They just vary with costs, ease of access, feedback and other important communication issues, but never forget they are channels. While radio, TV, and the web are distinct and different in some ways, they all connect sources and receivers. The Pentagon just needs how to figure out how to plug it into its mission. When they do that, it will help with recruiting and reunions and any other Pentagon function that is dominated by the social connection.

I also hope that Secretary Gates is playing with everyone when he acts worried about “falling behind the power curve” on social media like the military is Detroit and in danger of going out of business. Social media has a power curve for the chattering classes and untenured assistant professors seeking grants. It’s a buzz word and it’s fine to salute the buzz, but really, that’s not where it’s at.

Where it is at is with the Big Brother Facebook scenario. The Pentagon should be either building or buying (legally, of course . . . I say that for the children) social networking sites for Bad Guys, Bad Guy Allies, and the Usual Gang of Suspects.

The implications seem obvious. Merely offering this as “Aww, we’re just thinking out loud” should cause anyone on the Other Side to think twice about their own behavior. Is it possible that the Pentagon is actually running some social media Over There (or Over Here for the Other Side) and our guys have been posting up pictures?

The Pentagon just acting nonchalent in this area should be yet another pressure point Bad Guys have to worry about. As anyone who has put up something stupid on the web knows, it never goes away. The Wayback Machine is there.

However, the advantages of built or bought social media web sites should be obvious and the Pentagon should be prosecuting this to the fullest extent the law allows.

I’ve been involved in several large scale campaigns aimed at behavior change for some health or safety behavior. If I’d had access to Facebook style data on the communities or associations we were targeting, it would have been shooting fish in a barrel. We could have delivered highly tailored messages to specific people and used their networks as amplifiers or echo chambers to heighten the impact of the messages. And, we could have kept these networks relatively isolated from each other, so that what we said to one, did not get to another. It is a compelling advantage and it comes from the network of detail social media generates.

Bottom line: Social media is something that the Pentagon should do unto others, but not let be done unto them.

Remember the Rules.

Persuasion is strategic or it is not.

Persuaders can either be famous or effective, but not both.

It’s about the other guy, stupid.

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Persuasion in the Field

23rd August 2009

Persuasion both forms human nature and reveals human nature.  To be human is to persuade and be persuaded.  We therefore carry persuasion potential into every event where two people meet. 

Is this really true? 

Let’s test this assertion with an excellent example from this post at Afghan Lessons Learned.

ALL is written by, in the words of its authors, ” . . . three Senior NCO’s and one Major, and we have served in both line units and as embedded advisors in Afghanistan. We were filled full of bullshit by those who trained us, and so we are trying to help tell it like it really is.”

The example we consider today is entitled, “Chapter 3: Culture (Lesson 3A: Chai and the Pashtunwali).

Tea, or chai, forms an important social custom in Afghanistan.  It is also a means for persuasion.  Some people see that.  Others don’t.

“A leadership recently in Afghanistan was telling its Soldiers not to drink chai. Don’t listen to stuff like that; it will have you insulting people left and right.

One of the key tenets of the Pushtunwali, the code of conduct of the Pashtuns, is hospitality. Hospitality is not just a Pashtun value, though. It is an Afghan value.

We have both had chai served to us by Taliban, as well. A Talib will not kill you while offering you hospitality. It just isn’t done.”

These quotes illustrate potential for persuasion plays based on norms, the descriptive (what everyone does) or prescriptive (what everyone should do) rules that govern social action.  Norms often function as Cues, persuasion plays that guide preference and action, but require little or no thinking on the part of the receiver.  Here’s a simple statement of the norm Cue: “If Others Are Doing It, You Should, Too.”

There are many persuasion Cues and they often appear in combinations.  Consider these quotes.

“More often, the offer of chai was not an obligatory gesture but a genuine expression of friendship and a desire to have relaxed conversation with another. Either way, refusal of an invitation is a delicate thing. While you may be excused for having to fulfill other obligations, genuine regret and thanks for the offer are in order.”

Here we see the operation of two other plays, Reciprocity and Liking.  Reciprocity (When The Source Gives You Something, You Must Give Back) and Liking (When You Like The Source, Do What They Request) can both function in the chai norm.  Sometimes, the chai offer is the first move by the source doing the Reciprocity play and you should respond with acceptance.  More often, though, chai allows Liking to function in that “genuine expression of friendship” and the fun of a “relaxed conversation with another.”

In other case, we should note the persuasion pressure applied by the source on the receiver.  When you get hit with the chai offer, the reciprocation play usually works to make the receiver give more than the source.  And, of course, if Liking enters the picture through “genuine friendship” or merely “relaxing conversation,” there is again more persuasion pressure on the receiver.  Not only is chai part of a cultural value, it is also a persuasion play.

Could or do Americans offer chai to Afghans?  In other words, do or can Americans replicate the chai norm and rather than always react to the Afghan offer, initiate the norm (adding other Cues like Reciprocity or Liking or whatever) and make the Afghan react?  If anyone has any direct knowledge of this, I’d like to hear about it.  My guess is that if you do it right, you’ve made a very powerful persuasion move that generates a lot of potential persuasion pressure on Afghans.

Now, let’s complicate things.  Consider the persuasion pressure of Cues in this situation.

“This was my first experience going down the a particularly miserably narrow alley-like road between the main north-south road in the valley and literally into the riverbed. We parked in the riverbed and the team from the 82nd stayed there while I and my terp accompanied the ANP alone while we walked a couple of miles to the target houses.

We reached the first target house and it was the home of the village Malek, a senior elder position in the village. We asked him about the visitors he had had that day and the ANP searched his house.

They found sixty rounds of 7.62×39 ammunition. AK ammo. In AK magazines. Not good. We detained him and took him and the ammo with us.  We then moved a mile or so to the next house and after a search and protestations of innocence from the homeowner, we proceeded back to the district center. Upon my arrival the Wuliswahl, or Sub-governor, of Tag Ab, a man since replaced and who we believed was no doubt “dirty,” requested the pleasure of my company. By name.

“Crap.”

I entered his sitting room, carpeted with rugs and with pillows arranged around the periphery, to discover three other gentlemen seated whom I had never seen before. One vaguely resembled the man that I had only recently detained. The Wuliswahl ordered chai and bade me sit.

It turned out that two of the men were supposedly Maleks from neighboring villages and the third was the detained Malek’s brother. The whole point of this chai was to dissuade me from taking the Taliban-friendly, ammunition-hiding Malek in to the temporary detainee-handling facility we had established at the north end of the Tag Ab Valley.

We drank chai and they expressed themselves thoroughly; alternately asking for and demanding the release of the Malek, vouching for the detainee’s character, and asking that we let him go in their custody so that they could bring him in the morning. This part went on for quite some time.”

Look at all the persuasion pressure on the American here.  He’s caught in the chai norm and already feeling the demand of reciprocity – “Hey, we’re being friendly and polite with chai and you should reciprocate by releasing our brother.”  The American also faces an Authority Cue with the Wuliswahl of the district.  The Authority Cue is obvious:  “When An Authority Makes A Request, You Should Comply.”  The interaction probably followed the sequence of serving, small talk, and friendly conversation leading perhaps to some Liking Cue.

Now, all of these Cues are irrelevant to the issue at hand.  An Afghan had sixty rounds of AK ammunition.  That’s clearly the mark of the Taliban and is thus a straightforward violation.  In persuasion terms, this is a strong Argument for Central Route persuasion.  The Afghans are resisting, not on the merits of the case, but with a heavy dose of persuasion Cues.

Of course, this is a difficult and dangerous situation.  We’re in a war zone.  But realize how people are handling this problem short of violence.  They’re talking.  That’s persuasion.  The Afghans are working on the Peripheral Route because that favors them.  Their brother is in trouble based on the Arguments and just like every big brother in trouble with the parents for wailing on the little brother, when you’re losing on the Arguments, go to Cues.  Maybe the Afghans can use the persuasive power of social Cues – the Norms, Reciprocity, Liking, Authority – to achieve their goals.

Now, notice how the American handles this.

“I countered their points with discussion of the finding of prohibited ammunition, his need to set an example, and our belief that he had hosted Taliban for chai in his home. They refuted those claims, his brother offering to let me burn his house with his family in it if his brother had Taliban in his home; a dramatic portion of the dance.

They spoke of his honor, his honor in the eyes of his village, and of their honor-bound duty to seek his release.

Finally, I told them that I understood that it was their duty to come and seek his release, and that they had done their part to uphold their honor.

I told them that I am an askar, a soldier, and that my honor depends on me following my orders. They agreed; that is what askare are supposed to do. I asked them civilly, as I sipped the opposite side of my chai cup, if they were asking me to dishonor myself. The four men assured me vociferously that none of them would ever ask me to dishonor myself.

I thanked them, as I rose to leave, for understanding that my orders were to bring the man in, and I thanked them for not asking me to violate my orders and dishonor myself. I excused myself, bowing slightly with my hand over my heart in the Afghan way, and shook each of their hands mumbling, “Tashakur, khud hafez.”

First, have no doubt about the American’s physical courage, but also see his intuitive persuasion analysis in a high risk situation.  He is a very skilled persuader.  Here’s why.

Notice how he switched everyone off the Peripheral Route and all those irrelevant, but powerful Cues onto the Central Route.  He focused the talk on Arguments.  He noted the irrefutable evidence of the ammo, the importance of enforcement examples, and the provocative potential of Taliban at chai.  Then he hit them with a crushing strong Argument – honor.  Honor applies equally well to both the Afghans and to him.  He pointed out, very cleverly, that the Afghans would be dishonored if they did not speak up for their brother and that he would be dishonored if he let the detainee go.  Note that the way the American set up this Argument, both sides were proven to be honorable and could not be criticized for their actions.  Thus, the Afghans could righteously claim that they had defended the honor of themselves and their community by demanding the release of their brother and they could say that the American soldier was righteous in his honor for taking the Afghan who had clearly broken the rules.

I don’t want to push too hard, but this action sounds like something out of the Iliad and Odysseus, the Greek king.  Odysseus was noted as both a strong warrior and a cunning leader.  He could win with weapons or with words.  For example, when the Greeks first arrived at Troy everyone hesitated in their ships because of an oracle claim that the first man to jump ashore would die.  Odysseus threw his shield ashore, then leapt upon it.  Thus, he was the first man off the ship, but in a way that clearly trumped the oracle.  The second Greek onshore simply jumped on shore, feet first, and later became the first Greek to die, just like the oracle asserted.

Now, let’s veer into new persuasion territory.

“My first chai was something that I stumbled into quite by accident. In April of 2007, the ANA were practicing for the annual parade in Kabul. It is a big deal, involving a lot of practice. We went to visit them at the area of Kabul where they were staying during this. The team chief and several officers and the Sergeant Major were all escorted about on a tour of the Afghan temporary camp that had been set up, looking at tanks and armored personnel carriers and the like as they wandered about.

The Maniac and I were left watching the humvees while the others were off being feted.

Americans always draw a crowd, and some of the soldiers from the tents nearby began to drift over and try to communicate with us. We noticed that they had M-16′s. Their captain, who spoke limited English, asked us to show them how to disassemble and reassemble the rifle.

The rifles had been issued to them for the parade. The Afghan soldiers had no idea if they were going to actually work with these weapons.

I showed the captain how to do it, the soldiers gathered around the front of the vehicle watching intently. The captain would not try it in front of his men, however. Maniac started working with individual soldiers, showing them the same thing and encouraging them to try it themselves.”

Modeling Theory (Monkey See, Monkey Do) is a powerful persuasion play.  You change people in a simple three step:  1.  observe a model,  2. imitate the model, and 3. get a consequence.  Here Maniac is the model who demonstrates while the Afghans observe.  The Afghans then imitate the behavior of the model and, as anyone who’s every assembled a gun knows, you do get a consequence from imitation – the gun goes snap or else you’re standing there holding an inert weapon and this springy-looking thingy in your hand.

The Afghan captain is also no persuasion idiot.  He doesn’t know how to service the weapon and he’s not going to demonstrate his incompetence in front of his men.  Thus, he asks/orders (the distinction is lost in translation) the Americans to demonstrate while he supervises.  He clearly understands another powerful persuasion Cue, Authority.  He cannot look unskilled and be an Authority.

Did Maniac (or any other American) take this Captain aside and train him up on servicing the M-16, also showing some tricks not offerred to the squad of soldiers?  Think about the persuasion implications of that move.

Outro

This is a long post with many demonstrations.

1.  Persuasion forms and reveals human nature.  Where we go, persuasion applies.

2.  See the operation of Cues and Arguments.  Notice how they are used and consider how they can be extended.  Chai creates a Norm and If Other People Are Doing It, You Should, Too.  With chai we can add Reciprocity (taking more than we give, however), Liking, and Authority.  See how people use Cues when the Arguments don’t favor them.  Particularly realize how Arguments based in local terms are incredibly powerful.

3.  See how a simple demonstration of Modeling Theory can be used for training, but also how it reveals the operation of other Cues (the captain’s Authority).

4.  Look at all the potential persuasion extensions in just this one long post.  Can Americans offer chai and use it to pursue their persuasion goals?  How could spontaneous training sessions be used for lurking persuasion purposes?  Think about training all Americans in the “honor” Argument.  Think how flexible and useful this could be.  And, aren’t there other examples like this that other Americans have employed in a similar fashion?  What are other Afghan values that translate into strong Arguments Americans can use in other situations?

Persuasion, whether anyone realizes it or calls it by that name, is already in the field.  Because it is a part of human nature, we carry it everywhere we go.

Now, what if we get systematic with it?  What if we collect and share persuasion lessons learned?  What if we train on it?

Why leave persuasion skill as something we read about in ancient Greek tales?

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Brands, Ding-Dongs, Colors, and School Spirit!

21st August 2009

As established in prior posts and in writings, color can be used persuasively as a classically conditioned Ding-Dong.  Men like women better when she’s against a red backgroundGreen can sell about anything including soup.  Ding-dong is the persuasion foundation of the Branding Tactic whereby a source picks a logo then associates Ding-Dong style with whatever attributes it desires.

Now, Budweiser is doing a clever Ding-Dong with its Bud Beer by dipping its beer cans in the school colors of various large and successful universities in a bid to attract attention in the crowded beer market at the start of a new football . . . uhhh . . . school year.  Here’ a picture of the Bud “Fan Can” sold in Louisana, home of the LSU Bengal Tigers, sporting the school colors of purple and gold.

Bud Fan Can for LSU Purple and Gold

Pretty smart and pretty simple.  Ding-Dong.

But, of course, Ding-Dongs can elicit other, unwanted associations and the WSJ story on the Bud “Fan Can” offers these Conditioned Responses, too.  Tell me how you react to this one.

“Bruce Siegal, general counsel of the Collegiate Licensing Co., which represents about 200 colleges, the National Collegiate Athletic Association and other school-sports organizations, says his company complained to Anheuser-Busch about potential trademark violations after being notified about the campaign.”

Hey, the NCAA, through legal counsel, is saying, We Ding-Donged those colors and you’d better not infringe our copyright.  The University of Michigan, who stole my football coach, Mr. Rich Rodriquez from my beloved Gold and Blue Mountaineers, is threatening legal action if Bud sells Maize and Blue Fan Cans anywhere in Michigan.  In a state where the economy is on life support, why would anyone in Michigan suppress economic activity?  Maybe if Bud reimburses the Athletic Department for the money they had to fork over to pay Mr. Rodriguez’s WVU contract penalties, this will go away like a bad dream?

And, consider this Ding-Dong:

“Samuel L. Stanley, president of New York’s Stony Brook University and a medical doctor, also objected. In a letter to Anheuser-Busch, he called the campaign “categorically unacceptable.” Stony Brook recently launched a national program called Red Watch Band, which seeks to harness school pride and “positive peer pressure” to discourage heavy drinking.”

In case you don’t know, binge drinking among college students is rampant and students die every year from alcohol related injury, accident, or illness.

These University Ding-Dongs with school colors demonstrate an unfortunate complexity in everyday life.  Schools have two concerns, drunk students and copyright enfringements.  Those two ideas would seem to be at odds with each other and the image of universities as institutions of high ethics, great intelligence, and service to the greater good.  You can believe there’s a lot of dissonance reduction going on at State U along with a lot of beer consumption.

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Persuasion and Strategic Communication in Defense

18th August 2009

Let’s consider persuasion in a new application.

Since September 11, 2001, the Federal government in general and the Department of Defense in particular have become more interested in the effective use of communication (and by my lights, persuasion) to achieve a variety of goals.  Consistent with this welcome interest is the DOD’s latest statement on the Principles of Strategic Communication (available as a PDF here at Mountainrunner).  Matt Armstrong at MountainRunner also offers a commentary on the document.

This brief document describes nine key principles of Strategic Communication (SC):

  • Leadership-driven: leaders must decisively engage and drive SC processes
  • Credible: perception of truthfulness and respect between all parties
  • Dialogue: multi-faceted exchange of ideas to promote understanding and build relationships
  • Unity of Effort: integrated and coordinated, vertically and horizontally
  • Responsive: right audience, right message, right time, and right place
  • Understanding: deep comprehension of attitudes, cultures, identities, behavior, history, perspectives and social systems. What we say, do, or show may not be what others hear or see
  • Pervasive: every action, image, and word sends a message
  • Results-Based: actions to achieve specific outcomes in pursuit of a well-articulated end-state
  • Continuous: diligent ongoing research, analysis, planning, execution, and assessment that feeds planning and action

This document provides guidance to all DOD operations that involve “Strategic Communication.” Everyone should understand what DOD is doing.  It’s worth our time and effort.

I have no military experience.  If you read this blog you know that I’m a civilian through and through, so I am outside the gate at the Pentagon.  This means my perspective lacks the experience, training, and mission that drives the military.  Thus, my perspective here is, by definition, auslander.  If my ideas are foolish, ignorant, or warped, I apologize.  I offer my perspective as a patriotic American who is happy to be here and hopes he can help the team.

That said, I ask:  Given the nine principles, what is NOT strategic communication?  Anyone who uses communication as a main job function would want to apply these principles.  Teachers with classes; supervisers with subordinates; officers with soldiers; all would employ them.  These principles are concepts aimed at effectiveness and if “Strategic Communication” is simply another way of saying “effective communication,” then what have we gained?

Communication and persuasion are valuable instruments, particularly in the New World Order the military faces.  The enemies of democracy and America fight an asymmetric war, deliberately avoiding the direct combat confrontation they could never win.  The US Government and our Military know this is an Attitudinal War as much as it is a Kinetic War.  Thus, the need for Strategic Communication and its doctrine.

But, whether we call the rose by any other name, the nine principles are not Strategic Communication, but simply Effective Communication.  Please, pick up any basic communication textbook on effective public speaking or interpersonal relationships and you will find all of the same concepts, just with different labels.

My training leads me to read this document as another way of saying, “how to do it well.”  My training also leads me to think that Effective Communication is not Strategic Communication.  It’s just effective in that moment and it may or may not serve any strategic purpose or outcome.

Here’s a different take on Strategic Communication.

1.  It is always a child of the Grand Strategy that the state (or unit, organization, person, etc.) pursues without any thought about Strategic Communication.  Thus, if SC didn’t exist, Grand Strategy would still roll on.  If you don’t know, understand, and support the Grand Strategy, SC is dangerous, probably useless, but may be exhilarating.

2.  SC builds top-down and bottom-up from Strategy through Operations to Tactics and back again just like Grand Strategy.  You cannot build an effective SC without thinking through the other levels of communication functions.  A good SC will consider the available Communication Tactics as part of the SC plan, for example factoring in the absence of wide scale and sophisticated mass media in an area of operations, and altering SC aims appropriately.

3.  SC must cleave people into Groups.  Minimally, there are Good Guys, Bad Guys, and Everyone Else, but other distinctions can be made.  SC identifies the Receivers and differentiates them.

4.  SC identifies the TACTs that will enhance or enable the Grand Strategy.  TACTs are the behaviors SC planners want the various Groups to perform.  These TACT assignments to different Groups should be determined at the Strategic level.

5.  SC determines how different TACTs will be applied to different receiver Groups.  For example, SC may distinguish several different Allied Groups, but desire different kinds of support TACTs from each – material resources from one, airspace access from another, and large public opinion approval from another.  Each TACT is a kind of “support,” but each is considerably different.

6.  SC defines the measurables that prove the desired changes have occurred.  SC is the only level of communication that directly connects with the Grand Strategy and thus is the only level that knows what counts.  Operations and Tactics cannot know the key measurables at the Strategic level and, if required, may produce measurables that are irrelevant to the Grand Strategy.  (And that would be the better case; they could generate measurables that defeat Grand Strategy.)

7.  SC determines coordination as in command and control and rules of engagement.  For example, SC determines whether deception is permitted as part of SC and under what conditions.  It outlines what kind of cooperation must occur with Allied Groups and what kind of coordination must occur within Good Guy Groups.  SC also defines lines of leadership, as in theaters.

I offer these ideas on Strategic Communication not as a complete statement, but rather as a vision that provides an alternative line of discussion and argument.  This sketch is not a comparative advantages case that agrees with the status quo at most points and offers minor changes.  This is decidedly unlike the current nine principles and explores a different path.

Perhaps, auslander, too, but maybe in a good way?

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